March 24

How the Fed’s Interest Rates are Affecting Small Businesses

The article, “Fed gets an earful about ‘stranglehold’ from high rates” by Ann Saphir, discusses how the high interest rates paired with rising wages and higher energy costs is making it harder for small and medium sized businesses. The Fed recently had a session where they listened to business and community leaders talk about how interest rates are affecting Americans. One of the most notable speakers was Whitney Ferris-Hansen, the owner of J/W Farms and Ranch. She explained how high interest rates are making it harder for the agricultural sector because the cost of taking out a loan to buy equipment is higher than the return on investment for the equipment. This problem isn’t just affecting the agriculture industry, however; it is also affecting manufacturing companies to the point where they have stopped investing in new equipment because of the cost. This is important because if companies start seeing higher costs to run their businesses, they will have to start charging higher prices to compensate for it. That being said, the Fed doesn’t want to cut rates until they are sure inflation is under control as that could result in a larger crisis.

This connects to topics discussed in class because the activity in our economy can affect other economies and trade between countries. For example, agricultural exports from the US were valued at around $180 billion in 2023. If interest rates don’t change, farmers won’t be able to replace their old or broken equipment because they can’t take out loans to finance the huge machines they use. This would decrease our exports and it would mean other countries import less of our products. The agriculture industry also contributes greatly to our own economy. Agriculture and other food related industries account for 5.5% of the US GDP or $1.420 trillion. We would most likely see an increase in food prices before we see a reduction in the contribution of agriculture to our economy, but keeping the interest rates high would eventually affect everyone, not just the smaller businesses.

This issue is very important because it has the potential to affect everyone. The Fed has to find a balance between taking care of Americans now while also making sure we don’t fall into a recession again. Right now, they are prioritizing keeping us out of a recession but we are seeing the side effects affecting small businesses right now. If I had to make a prediction, I think interest rate cuts are coming and we currently aren’t in a terrible position. We aren’t on the brink of a recession and the reason the Fed hasn’t cut rates yet is because our economy is strong right now. Eventually, they will have to bring interest rates down and there are talks of it happening sometime this year. Overall, our economy is a very important topic, and its also a very interesting topic. Everything the Fed does will have an impact on us which is why we should pay attention to what they are doing.

March 15

The Current State of the US Economy

The article focuses on the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates as consumer confidence rises and inflation slows down. It touches on the importance of these economic indicators and their impact on the financial and political global community. With inflation showing signs of control and consumer confidence on the rise, the Federal Reserve’s decision carries significant influence through various aspects of the economy, including borrowing costs, spending patterns, and investment decisions. This development is crucial for policymakers, investors, and businesses worldwide as they are finding their place through evolving economic conditions and plan their strategies accordingly. Here's the inflation breakdown for January 2024 — in one chart

The topics discussed in the article connect with various concepts from class. The decision by the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady reflects the balance between promoting economic growth and controlling inflation, a fundamental concept in economics. Additionally, the article emphasizes consumer behavior and sentiment, again connecting with discussions on demand and its impact on overall economic activity. The mention of job cuts and labor market conditions doesn’t show the connection with different economic variables, reinforcing the importance of understanding the nature of economic systems. My takeaway from this article is the mention of the relationships between monetary policy, consumer confidence, inflation, and labor market dynamics, which collectively shapes our economy as of today. Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady, Signals Potential for Rate Cuts in 2024 – NMP

The article’s importance lies in its insights into the current state of the U.S. economy and its implications for various stakeholders. While the Federal Reserve’s decision may get rid of any concerns about inflation, the labor market’s weakness sees potential challenges ahead. The article’s audience likely includes policymakers, economists, investors, and businesses seeking to gauge the economic world and make informed decisions based on it. The impact of these developments extends beyond national borders, affecting global financial markets and trade dynamics. Ultimately, the decisions made by central banks and policymakers can have risks, influencing economic growth, employment trends, and income distribution. But it’s essential to monitor these developments closely and consider their implications for both national and international stakeholders.